**Latest Polls Ahead of Key 2025 Elections in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia**
As Americans head to the polls, Newsweek has compiled the latest polling data for the important 2025 elections in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia. These high-profile races are attracting national attention and could influence the political landscape leading into the 2026 midterms.
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### Why It Matters
The 2025 elections in these three states are pivotal. Voters will be deciding on leaders in contests that not only spotlight regional issues but also offer insight into shifting political dynamics on the East Coast. Moreover, the results will serve as a barometer for support toward the Democratic and Republican parties ahead of future national elections.
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### What To Know
#### New York City Mayor’s Race
Democrat Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is currently favored to win the mayoral race. Mamdani is competing against former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who is running as an independent, and Republican Curtis Sliwa.
According to the latest Marist Poll, which surveyed 971 likely voters between October 24 and October 28, there is a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
#### New Jersey Governor’s Race
The New Jersey gubernatorial race is notably tight between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli.
– **AtlasIntel Poll** (October 25–30; 1,639 likely voters; ±2% margin of error) shows Sherrill with a narrow lead, polling at 50.2% to Ciattarelli’s 49.3%.
– **John Zogby Strategies Poll** (October 31–November 3; 1,205 respondents; ±2.9% margin of error) has Sherrill ahead at 55% compared to Ciattarelli’s 43.4%.
– **Research Co. Poll** (November 2–3; 450 likely voters; ±4.5% margin of error) also places Sherrill in the lead with 52% against Ciattarelli’s 48%.
#### Virginia Governor’s Race
Democratic incumbent Abigail Spanberger holds a favorable position over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears.
– **Trafalgar Group Poll** shows Spanberger leading by 5.6 percentage points (49.8% to 43.3%).
– **Insider Advantage Survey** (800 likely voters; November 2–3; ±3.46% margin of error) has Spanberger at 50% and Earle-Sears at 40%.
– **Research Co. Poll** (November 2–3; 450 likely voters; ±4.6% margin of error) shows Spanberger leading 54% to 46%.
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### What People Are Saying
Statistician Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, commented on the New Jersey race:
*”A close race could just come down to Sherrill being part of an unpopular two-time incumbent party. That’s why it’s going to be hard to infer much from this election, either about the state of New Jersey or the broader political environment.”*
Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani, speaking outside New York City Hall on Monday, said:
*”I continue to be confident about our chances heading into Election Day tomorrow. But I will not allow myself or let this movement to become complacent.”*
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### What Happens Next
Polling places across New York, New Jersey, and Virginia are now open for in-person voting. Initial results are expected shortly after polls close on Tuesday evening. However, the high rates of mail-in and early voting introduce an element of uncertainty, meaning final outcomes may not be clear until late Tuesday or Wednesday.
Stay tuned for updates as these pivotal races unfold.
https://www.newsweek.com/final-polls-winners-new-york-new-jersey-virginia-elections-10988229
