BEIJING — China’s economy likely slowed in the third quarter, with official data due Monday expected to confirm weaker growth, according to analysts polled by Reuters.
The analysts forecast that gross domestic product (GDP) growth rose 4.8% in the July-to-September period from a year ago, easing down from 5.2% in the previous quarter.
Fixed-asset investment, which includes real estate, is likely to have expanded by only 0.1% in the first nine months of the year, based on analyst estimates.
Retail sales are expected to have slowed to 3% year-on-year in September, while industrial production likely eased to 5%.
Despite these softening indicators, official data released for September so far have shown continued resilience in China’s exports, even amid ongoing tensions with the U.S.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/20/china-economic-growth-gdp-september-third-quarter-q3-retail-sales-industrial-output-urban-investment-fixed-income.html